HOV

HOV

New Home Sales in Context

Zacks.com submits:
By Dirk van DijkThe shockingly low rate of New Home Sales in July needs to be put into context (see "Worst New Home Sales EVER!"). The only problem is that the context only makes things seem worse than the raw numbers do.Complete Story »

New Home Sales: What Sales?

Michael Shulman submits: New home sales data came out this morning, and it was even worse than expected, on top of a revised and reduced home permit number. New home sales were 276,00, well below consensus estimates of 343,00. Inventories rose and prices fell to roughly $181,000, a sharp drop from a year ago. What mystifies me is how anyone who lives in this country – perhaps on the planet – could be surprised by this number. First, demand is gone.Complete Story »

Further Signs of the Recession's Return

Markos Kaminis (Wall St. Greek) submits: The latest signs from manufacturing, housing and the labor market all point to the return of economic recession. This report focuses on the dimming of the economy's only shining star, manufacturing. Yesterday offered an ominous ISM Manufacturing Report, and we think you should note the change the report illustrates.The daily barrage of data piles on the double-dip economic recession reality, beating down hopeful strategists and forecasters with truth. It's an ugly truth, unfortunately, but it's what we must deal with. This latest day's dumping included more signs of slowing in manufacturing and housing, and ongoing labor woes. You cannot fool the market with rhetoric for long; she is efficient at processing data, however policy makers, corporate leaders and investment professionals may try to sway her. Eventually, each and every one of them must bow to the truth. We remain an independent voice, seeing both opportunities and warning signs, and offering both long and short ideas without any bias.Complete Story »

Fast and Furious Four Day Wrap-Up

Phil Davis submits: Wheeeee, what a ride! Like any good car race, the lead changes often in the markets. Friday the bears took the lead as the combination of Hungarian debt issues and a disappointing jobs number were like a tire blow-out for the bulls, who were forced to pull in for a pit stop. Fortunately, we had our seat belts on and had assumed the crash position as I had warned Members on THURSDAY Morning at 10:04:Complete Story »

It’s Crunch Time for Housing

John Lounsbury submits:Thursday I published an article at TheStreet.com entitled “Housing Market Enters Crucial Phase”. The conclusion was that the new home market must experience a dramatic turnaround in the next two months or 2010 projections have no chance of being realized. The possibility that 2010 could be a poorer year for new home sales than 2009 was explored. Here I will extend and amplify that article. Analysts' EstimatesComplete Story »

Ideas of the Day: Buying Rue21, Shorting Hovnanian

The Oxen Group submits: We start off today with what should be a pretty neutral day in the markets. In pre-market, we got some good news out of the housing sector, which has not been releasing much in the way of positive data as of late. Housing starts and building permits for the month of February beat estimates; however, the market appears to be latching onto that it was the second straight month that building permits and housing starts fell. As investors await the Fed decision, the market will be bouncing along pretty flat, so we want to look for options that can move even if the market is not going to move as much. Buy Pick of the Day: Rue21 Inc. (RUE) Analysis: Futures are right around 10 up for the Dow, coming off some earlier highs at 18. The decline does not make me excited for a major rally. So, I wanted to find a stock that I thought could make it on its own.Complete Story »

S&P Case Shiller's Home Price Index Concerns Me

Markos Kaminis (Wall St. Greek) submits: Today's real estate metric seems to point toward trouble.S&P Case Shiller posted its Home Price Indices this morning covering the 10 and 20 city markets it regularly measures. Unfortunately, the data seems to offer insight the market could choke on as economists mull over and pick through October's refuse.Complete Story »

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