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Fed Program Acronym Watch: SWATting Down the Market

Wall Street Strategies submits:Admittedly, while I wanted more honesty from Ben Bernanke, there is always a price to pay for the things we ask for. Although the Federal Reserve Chairman made what are obvious comments, the fact he had to take the shine off his previously glossy assessments of the economy was unnerving. In other words, we like it when Big Ben lies to us; we are human, after all. There seems to be a suggestion the economic rally baton can be handed off to household and business spending as fiscal policy and inventory restocking will not provide the same oomph. The big problem, or "drag" as the Fed chief put it in his opening statement, emanates from a lack of jobs. Judging the average of 100,000 jobs gained per month in private payroll (no word on those saved and created jobs) as "insufficient" to reduce the unemployment rate materially only told us what we knew. But we were able to suspend the thought from time to time even as our unemployed brother-in-law keeps blowing up our cell phone. Hey, he was bumming money even when he had a job. In a week with heavy debate over extending unemployment benefits with paying for them, Bernanke underscored the harsh reality that those chronically unemployed (about half of total unemployed) face erosion of skills which makes future employment opportunities more difficult. That stuff didn't send the market lower; however, it was the tone of the testimony which makes it seem as if the Fed is confused, and maybe even frustrated. There were comments on Europe and its economic crisis being something of a wildcard, but it's clear those early victory laps were premature. Complete Story »

15 Companies Reporting Earnings Today (July 22)

Kapitall submits:Here is a list of 15 companies releasing earning statements on July 22. We've sorted the companies by market cap, and have briefly discussed their earnings performance over the past 3 years. The charts show past earning performances against analyst estimates. The green markers indicate the company beating estimates, while the red makers represent the company falling short of analyst expectations. All data is sourced from Zacks Investment Research.Complete Story »

15 Companies Reporting Earnings Today (July 22)

Kapitall submits:Here is a list of 15 companies releasing earning statements on July 22. We've sorted the companies by market cap, and have briefly discussed their earnings performance over the past 3 years. The charts show past earning performances against analyst estimates. The green markers indicate the company beating estimates, while the red makers represent the company falling short of analyst expectations. All data is sourced from Zacks Investment Research.Complete Story »

What's Causing Philip Morris' Volatility?

Kevin Parker submits: If you follow Philip Morris Int'l (PM) like I do, you'll notice that the stock is now back about $50 per share after being in the low $40's fairly recently. The stock has dipped down into the mid $40 range several times and has frequently bounced back up to $50 (and higher). So is this just normal market activity or is something serving as the catalyst for these movements? The catalyst is of course the euro. As the euro has been in the news much this year with the European sovereign debt issues, you've probably heard something about it. The reality is that after hitting some pretty low lows a few months ago, the euro has bounced nicely. While the general trend in recent years has been dollar down (often means euro up), stocks up, the trend is more specific for a stock like Philip Morris. The reason is because for companies like Philip Morris, currency fluctuations where the dollar becomes stronger is a headwind to earnings. This is because Philip Morris derives all of its revenues from overseas.Complete Story »

What's Causing Philip Morris' Volatility?

Kevin Parker submits: If you follow Philip Morris Int'l (PM) like I do, you'll notice that the stock is now back about $50 per share after being in the low $40's fairly recently. The stock has dipped down into the mid $40 range several times and has frequently bounced back up to $50 (and higher). So is this just normal market activity or is something serving as the catalyst for these movements? The catalyst is of course the euro. As the euro has been in the news much this year with the European sovereign debt issues, you've probably heard something about it. The reality is that after hitting some pretty low lows a few months ago, the euro has bounced nicely. While the general trend in recent years has been dollar down (often means euro up), stocks up, the trend is more specific for a stock like Philip Morris. The reason is because for companies like Philip Morris, currency fluctuations where the dollar becomes stronger is a headwind to earnings. This is because Philip Morris derives all of its revenues from overseas.Complete Story »

S&P 500 Most Overbought Stocks: Motorola Tops the List

Hickey and Walters (Bespoke) submit:
Yes Motorola! In our regular updates of the most overbought and oversold stocks in the S&P 500, it was surprising to see that seemingly ne'er-do-well Motorola (MOT) tops the list. With the stock currently trading more than three standard deviations above its 50-day moving average, MOT is by far the most overbought stock in the S&P 500, and one of only two Technology sector stocks to make the list of the top twenty. Motorola leading the market higher? It's been a while since anyone has said that.Complete Story »

Friday Options Recap

Frederic Ruffy submits: SentimentStocks are trading mixed in very slow market action Friday. The table was set for early weakness after the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 274 points Thursday and after data showed retail sales unexpectedly falling 1.2 percent in May. What! Economists were looking for an increase of .1 percent. However, a better than expected reading from the UofM Sentiment Index (75.5 vs. 74.5 consensus) helped to offset some of the worry from the poor sales numbers and trading had turned mixed by midday. It’s been slow. With less than an hour left to trade, the Dow is down 25 points and the NASDAQ up 8. The CBOE Volatility Index (.VIX) lost .93 to 29.64. In the options market, about 3.8 million calls and 3.9 million puts traded so far, or only 60 percent the recent average daily volume.Bullish FlowAfter trading to a low of $56.90 in morning action, Concho Resources (CXO) shares are up 39 cents to $58.49 and options volume is running 4X the recent average daily. The action includes 2127 Jul 65 calls and 2033 Dec 70 calls. Most of the action has been in smaller sizes on the ISE. The top trades are 200 lots trading at the ask in afternoon action. ISEE data hints at a non-customer firm buyer (however, it’s possibly premium selling and implied volatility is down about 5.5 percent to 51). Shares of the Midland, Texas onshore driller have been strong lately due to the recent problems in the offshore drilling industry. CXO is up nearly 25 percent from its late May lows and now testing a resistance area just above $59.Complete Story »

Goldman Sachs: The 50 Most Important Stocks for Hedge Funds

Market Folly submits:Given our focus on following hedge fund movements, we thought it would be prudent to post up Goldman Sachs' VIP list. The 'VIP' stands for 'Very Important Positions' for hedge funds that employ fundamental strategies rather than technical or trading. In essence, these are the 50 stocks that most frequently appear among the top ten holdings of hedge funds. In our hedge fund portfolio tracking series you may have noticed various stocks popping up over and over again in Goldman's top 10 holdings. This is simply an aggregation of a larger set of data and stems from our previous coverage of the top ten hedgie holdings.This basket of stocks returned 40% in 2009 versus 27% for the S&P 500. Goldman also notes that this list has,Complete Story »

Hugh Hendry's Eclectica Fund: Smokes, Bonds and Bucks

Market Folly submits:Today we present you with Hugh Hendry's latest investor letter out of his Eclectica Fund and his Absolute Macro Fund. For those unfamiliar with Hendry, he has become sort of a resident deflationist and has been an advocate of long treasurys positions. Prior to founding Eclectica in 2002, he was a partner at Odey Asset Management. He definitely seems to be a contrarian here as the Eclectica Fund finished 2008 up 31.2%, finished 2009 down 8.0% and through January 2010 was up 3.7%. Eclectica's gains this year have stemmed from its fixed income positions. In terms of recent portfolio activity out of the Eclectica Fund, Hendry notes that the fund sold over half of its 2 year forward curve steepeners in the U.K. As of the end of January, currency positions represented 31% of Eclectica's NAV, while government bonds (greater than 10 year) represented 18.3%. You can directly download the .pdf of Eclectica Fund's recent performance attribution here.Complete Story »

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